2019 Ardonia arrocane season: Difference between revisions
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| last system dissipated = Season ongoing | | last system dissipated = Season ongoing | ||
| first system formed = May 17, 2019 | | first system formed = May 17, 2019 | ||
| total fatalities = 1, | | total fatalities = 1,453 total | ||
| total damage = $ | | total damage = $219 billion (2019 AC) | ||
| five seasons = '''2019''', ''2020'' | | five seasons = '''2019''', ''2020'' | ||
| articles = [[Arrocane Arlene]]</br>[[Arrocane Camille]] | | articles = [[Arrocane Arlene]]</br>[[Arrocane Camille]]</br>[[Arrocane Florence]] | ||
| strongest-storm = [[Arrocane Arlene|Arlene]] | | strongest-storm = [[Arrocane Arlene|Arlene]] | ||
| maximum winds = {{convert|180|mph|km/h|abbr=on}}<br />''(1 minute sustained)'' | | maximum winds = {{convert|180|mph|km/h|abbr=on}}<br />''(1 minute sustained)'' | ||
| lowest pressure = 899 mbar (hPa; 26.55 inHg) | | lowest pressure = 899 mbar (hPa; 26.55 inHg) | ||
| total dp = | | total dp = 7 | ||
| total storms = | | total storms = 7 | ||
| total arrocanes = 4 | | total arrocanes = 4 | ||
| total marrocanes = 2 | | total marrocanes = 2 | ||
| record-storm = Strongest/most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded | | record-storm = Strongest/most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded | ||
| image caption = Season summary map | | image caption = Season summary map | ||
| image location = | | image location = 2019_Ardonia_arrocane_season_summary_map_RD2.png | ||
}} | }} | ||
The '''2019 Ardonia arrocane season''' is the ongoing annual period in which tropical cyclones—known regionally as '''arrocanes'''—form in the '''Ardonian Ocean''' and adjacent waters. The season officially began on May 15 and will end on October 31, dates which conventionally mark the period when arrocanes are most likely to develop across the region. The season is monitored by the '''National Arrocane Center (NAC)''' in '''Ataraxia''', with local coordination provided by regional '''National Weather Service (NWS)''' offices across the continent. | The '''2019 Ardonia arrocane season''' is the ongoing annual period in which tropical cyclones—known regionally as '''arrocanes'''—form in the '''Ardonian Ocean''' and adjacent waters. The season officially began on May 15 and will end on October 31, dates which conventionally mark the period when arrocanes are most likely to develop across the region. The season is monitored by the '''National Arrocane Center (NAC)''' in '''Ataraxia''', with local coordination provided by regional '''National Weather Service (NWS)''' offices across the continent. | ||
So far, the season has featured the formation of | So far, the season has featured the formation of '''seven''' named systems: | ||
* '''Arrocane Arlene''', a Category 5 cyclone and the strongest on record; | |||
* '''Tropical Storm Beryl''', a compact storm that remained offshore; | |||
* '''Arrocane Camille''', a high-end Category 2 landfalling storm; | |||
* '''Tropical Storm Dennis''', a minimal open-ocean system; | |||
* '''Arrocane Erika''', a Category 1 storm that remained over water; and | |||
* '''Arrocane Florence''', a Category 4 major arrocane that caused catastrophic impacts across western Ardonia. | |||
Arlene caused | '''Arlene''' caused unprecedented devastation across Cydonia and parts of southern Northwind, leaving over 1,300 dead and $158 billion in damages. '''Beryl''' remained over the open ocean but intensified rapidly into a strong tropical storm. '''Camille''' peaked at 100 mph and 973 mbar before striking Felden, killing 23 people and inflicting $16 billion in damage. '''Dennis''' stayed at sea and caused no reported damage or casualties. | ||
'''Erika''' formed south of Blade Island and reached 80 mph and 982 mbar before curving eastward and becoming extratropical, tying for the eighth-strongest arrocane on record. Though it never made landfall, Erika produced dangerous surf and elevated marine hazards along nearby coastlines. | |||
The most destructive storm after Arlene has been '''Arrocane Florence''', a rapidly intensifying Category 4 storm that slammed into western Conchord with peak winds of 150 mph and a pressure of 925 mbar. Florence caused widespread destruction through West Port, Deeproot, Fort Braymin, and Oakendale, killing 51 people and causing $45 billion in damage. It is the '''second-costliest storm''' on record in the basin. | |||
With all '''seven systems''' forming prior to the end of June, early-season activity has been '''well above average'''. Warm waters and favorable upper-level patterns, fueled by the ongoing '''positive phase of the Southern Trade Oscillation (STO)''', continue to support tropical development. The '''western Ardonian Ocean''' remains '''3–6°C above average''', especially in deep oceanic heat content, while the '''eastern half''' is relatively cooler—limiting storm intensification in that region. This temperature contrast explains the weaker intensities of storms like Beryl, Dennis, and Erika compared to the powerful western cyclones. | |||
As the season nears its peak, officials are urging continued vigilance across both coastal and inland regions. With its high fatality count and rapidly rising damage total, the 2019 season is already on track to become one of the most extreme in recorded history—possibly surpassing even the infamous 1865 season. | |||
{{Clear}} | |||
==Seasonal forecasts== | ==Seasonal forecasts== | ||
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|7-10 | |7-10 | ||
|- | |- | ||
| align="left" |VW | |||
| align="left" |July 3, 2019 | |||
|24 | |||
|15 | |||
|8 | |||
|- | |||
| '''Actual activity'''<br /> | | '''Actual activity'''<br /> | ||
| | | | ||
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from:01/06/2019 till:07/06/2019 color:C2 text:"[[Arrocane Camille|Camille (C2)]]" | from:01/06/2019 till:07/06/2019 color:C2 text:"[[Arrocane Camille|Camille (C2)]]" | ||
from:09/06/2019 till:14/06/2019 color:TS text:"Dennis (TS)" | from:09/06/2019 till:14/06/2019 color:TS text:"Dennis (TS)" | ||
from:10/06/2019 till: | from:10/06/2019 till:17/06/2019 color:C1 text:"Erika (C1)" | ||
from:11/06/2019 till: | from:11/06/2019 till:21/06/2019 color:C4 text:"[[Arrocane Florence|Florence (C4)]]" | ||
from:18/06/2019 till:23/06/2019 color:TS text:"Gert (TS)" | |||
bar:Month width:5 align:center fontsize:S shift:(0,-20) anchor:middle color:canvas | bar:Month width:5 align:center fontsize:S shift:(0,-20) anchor:middle color:canvas | ||
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Tropical Storm '''Beryl''' was the second named storm of the season, forming from a low-pressure system over the '''southeastern Ardonian Ocean''' on early on May 23. The system gradually organized and reached tropical storm strength by May 25, remaining entirely over open waters throughout its lifespan. Beryl peaked with sustained winds of '''65 mph (105 km/h)''' and a minimum central pressure of '''989 mbar''' on the early morning of May 26 before transitioning into an extratropical cyclone on May 27. It dissipated completely by May 28 at 2300 Ardonian time and by 0000 on May 29 in terms of Zulu time. | Tropical Storm '''Beryl''' was the second named storm of the season, forming from a low-pressure system over the '''southeastern Ardonian Ocean''' on early on May 23. The system gradually organized and reached tropical storm strength by May 25, remaining entirely over open waters throughout its lifespan. Beryl peaked with sustained winds of '''65 mph (105 km/h)''' and a minimum central pressure of '''989 mbar''' on the early morning of May 26 before transitioning into an extratropical cyclone on May 27. It dissipated completely by May 28 at 2300 Ardonian time and by 0000 on May 29 in terms of Zulu time. | ||
Although Beryl caused no damage or fatalities, it broke multiple historical records dating back to the '''Great Arrocane Year of 1865'''. It became the '''second strongest tropical storm''' on record for the basin by windspeed, surpassing all previous non-hurricane systems except Tropical Storm Ten of 1865 (70 mph). Beryl also entered the '''top 10 most intense arrocanes by pressure''', ranking just behind Tropical Storm Eleven of 1865 (988 mbar) until June 3-4, when [[Arrocane Camille]] would knock Beryl off the | Although Beryl caused no damage or fatalities, it broke multiple historical records dating back to the '''Great Arrocane Year of 1865'''. It became the '''second strongest tropical storm''' on record for the basin by windspeed, surpassing all previous non-hurricane systems except Tropical Storm Ten of 1865 (70 mph). Beryl also entered the '''top 10 most intense arrocanes by pressure''', ranking just behind Tropical Storm Eleven of 1865 (988 mbar) until June 3-4, when [[Arrocane Camille]] would knock Beryl down to 10th. When '''Arrocane Erika''' and [[Arrocane Florence]] dissipated, they knocked Beryl off the list for good according to the '''NAC/NWS'''. | ||
The Ardonia Meteorological Organization (AMO) has listed the name Beryl as a | The Ardonia Meteorological Organization (AMO) has listed the name Beryl as a 1% likelihood of retirement due to the historical records it broke were broken once more by newer storms. Beryl is no longer in the top 10 for strongest or most intense like it once was, which made the AMO take down it's percentage during their last meeting. | ||
{{Clear}} | {{Clear}} | ||
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===Arrocane Erika=== | ===Arrocane Erika=== | ||
{{Infobox Hurricane System | {{Infobox Hurricane System | ||
| 1-min winds = 80 | | 1-min winds = 80 | ||
| scale-type = aaws | | scale-type = aaws | ||
| pressure = 982 | | pressure = 982 | ||
| duration = June 10 – | | duration = June 10 – June 17 | ||
| image = Erika_0500_AT_6132019.png <!--Temporary_cyclone_north.svg--> | | image = Erika_0500_AT_6132019.png <!--Temporary_cyclone_north.svg--> | ||
| track = | | track = Erika_Full_Track.png | ||
}} | }} | ||
Arrocane Erika was the fifth named storm and third arrocane of the 2019 Ardonia season. It developed from a broad area of low pressure south of Blade Island on June 10 and initially moved slowly eastward, gradually intensifying under favorable environmental conditions. By June 11, Erika attained tropical storm status, becoming better organized with deep convection wrapping around a consolidating center. Its slow movement allowed the storm to remain over anomalously warm sea surface temperatures, which contributed to continued strengthening. | |||
On June 13, Erika intensified into a Category 1 arrocane on the Ardonian Arrocane Wind Scale (AAWS), reaching peak winds of '''80 mph (130 km/h)''' and a minimum central pressure of '''982 mbar'''. At peak intensity, Erika tied with Arrocane Four of 1865 as the '''eighth-strongest''' and '''eighth-most intense''' arrocane ever recorded in the basin. Satellite imagery at the time showed a well-defined central dense overcast with notable banding features and a developing eye-like structure, further supporting its classification as a mature arrocane. | |||
Although Erika remained over open ocean throughout its lifetime, its large wind field generated hazardous marine conditions. Elevated swells and long-period waves impacted coastal regions of southern Blade Island and eastern Conchord, prompting marine warnings and high surf advisories from local NWS offices. Some outer rainbands clipped offshore islets, but no damage or casualties were reported. | |||
After maintaining hurricane strength for nearly 18 hours, Erika began to weaken as it tracked into a region of increased wind shear and progressively cooler waters. It was downgraded to a tropical storm by June 14, and later transitioned into an extratropical cyclone that same day. The storm's remnant low persisted through June 17, slowly drifting southeastward before dissipating over the open Ardonian Ocean. Erika’s structure and behavior offered valuable case study opportunities for researchers analyzing the life cycle of mid-tier open-ocean systems in the basin. | |||
{{Clear}} | {{Clear}} | ||
===Arrocane Florence=== | ===Arrocane Florence=== | ||
{{main|Arrocane Florence}} | |||
{{Infobox Hurricane System | |||
| 1-min winds = 150 | |||
| scale-type = aaws | |||
| pressure = 925 | |||
| duration = June 11 – June 21 | |||
| image = Florence_1700_AT_6152019.png | |||
| track = Florence_Full_Track.png | |||
}} | |||
Arrocane Florence was the sixth named storm, fourth arrocane, and second major arrocane of the devastating 2019 Ardonia season. The system formed on June 11 over the warm waters of the central Ardonian Ocean and quickly organized into a tropical storm later that day. Florence steadily intensified as it tracked east-northeastward, becoming an arrocane on June 13 and reaching Category 3 major status within 36 hours. | |||
On June 15, Florence underwent a phase of rapid intensification, peaking as a Category 4 arrocane with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph (240 km/h) and a minimum pressure of 925 mbar, ranking it as the third most intense and third fastest-strengthening system in the basin’s recorded history. At peak intensity, Florence displayed a sharply defined eye and deep convective structure as it approached the western coastline of Ardonia. | |||
The storm made landfall in western Conchord, near the city of West Port, causing catastrophic wind and flood damage across a wide region. Florence maintained hurricane strength as it passed through Deeproot, Fort Braymin, and Oakendale, before weakening inland over the rugged interior terrain. Several rural areas—including Hutch’s Hut, Mr. Finch’s Farm, and Darlene’s Farm—suffered extensive destruction or were completely leveled by extreme winds and mudslides. | |||
Florence claimed 51 lives and injured scores more, while causing $45 billion AC in damages, making it the second-costliest tropical cyclone in Ardonian history behind Arrocane Arlene. Massive evacuations and extensive post-storm recovery efforts were required across Felden, Conchord, and parts of Hyperia, with transportation corridors severely impacted and communications knocked out for days in remote regions. | |||
The National Arrocane Center noted that Florence’s combination of compact intensity, landfall location, and long duration over populated areas made it one of the most destructive arrocane events on record, especially for a Category 4 system. Despite weakening after landfall, its remnant low persisted for several more days before dissipating over northeastern Ardonia on June 21. | |||
{{Clear}} | |||
===Tropical Storm Gert=== | |||
{{Infobox Hurricane System | {{Infobox Hurricane System | ||
| 1-min winds = 50 | |||
| 1-min winds = | |||
| scale-type = aaws | | scale-type = aaws | ||
| pressure = | | pressure = 994 | ||
| duration = June | | duration = June 18 – June 23 | ||
| image = Temporary_cyclone_north.svg | | image = Temporary_cyclone_north.svg | ||
| track = | | track = | ||
}} | }} | ||
{{Clear}} | {{Clear}} | ||
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*[[Arrocane Camille|Camille]] | *[[Arrocane Camille|Camille]] | ||
*Dennis | *Dennis | ||
* | *Erika | ||
* | *[[Arrocane Florence|Florence]] | ||
* | *Gert | ||
| | | | ||
*{{tcname unused|Harvey}} | *{{tcname unused|Harvey}} | ||
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| dates=June 9–14 | | dates=June 9–14 | ||
| min-press=990 | | min-press=990 | ||
| areas=None | |||
| damage=None | |||
| deaths=None | |||
| refs= | |||
}} | |||
{{TC stats cyclone AAWS | |||
| cat=ahwscat1 | |||
| max-winds=80 | |||
| name=Erika | |||
| dates=June 10–17 | |||
| min-press=982 | |||
| areas=None | |||
| damage=None | |||
| deaths=None | |||
| refs= | |||
}} | |||
{{TC stats cyclone AAWS | |||
| cat=ahwscat4 | |||
| max-winds=150 | |||
| name=[[Arrocane Florence|Florence]] | |||
| dates=June 11–21 | |||
| min-press=925 | |||
| areas=Felden, West Port, Deeproot, Conchord, Fort Braymin, Hutch's Hut, Abbigail's & Mr. Finch's Farm, Underwood, Leewa, Darlene's Farm | |||
| damage=$45 billion | |||
| deaths=51 | |||
| refs= | |||
}} | |||
{{TC stats cyclone AAWS | |||
| cat=ahwsstorm | |||
| max-winds=50 | |||
| name=Gert | |||
| dates=June 18–23 | |||
| min-press=994 | |||
| areas=None | | areas=None | ||
| damage=None | | damage=None | ||
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}} | }} | ||
{{TC stats table end3 | {{TC stats table end3 | ||
| num-cyclones= | | num-cyclones=7 | ||
| dates=May 17 - Ongoing | | dates=May 17 - Ongoing | ||
| max-winds={{ConvertMPHKMHTCStats|180}} | | max-winds={{ConvertMPHKMHTCStats|180}} | ||
| min-press=899 | | min-press=899 | ||
| tot-areas= | | tot-areas= | ||
| tot-damage=$ | | tot-damage=$219 billion | ||
| tot-deaths=1, | | tot-deaths=1,453 | ||
}} | }} | ||
</center> | </center> | ||
{{Clear}} | {{Clear}} |