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2019 Ardonia arrocane season: Difference between revisions

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{{Infobox Arrocane Season|last system dissipated=Season not started|first system formed=Season not started|total fatalities=None|total damage=None|five seasons='''2019''', ''2020''|articles=None}}
{{Infobox Arrocane Season|last system dissipated=Season not started|first system formed=Season not started|total fatalities=None|total damage=None|five seasons='''2019''', ''2020''|articles=None}}
The '''2050 Atlantic hurricane season''' was a highly active and destructive season that resulted in significant damage and loss of life across the Atlantic basin. The season officially began on '''June 13, 2050''', and ended on '''November 17, 2050'''. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin. However, tropical cyclone activity began earlier than usual, with '''[[Hurricane Achillean]]''' becoming the earliest '''Category 4''' hurricane on record in the Atlantic basin, forming in early June and striking '''Louisiana''' at peak intensity.
The season featured several powerful and record-breaking storms, notably '''[[Hurricane Calhoun]]''', which became the '''second-costliest hurricane on record''' and the '''third deadliest''' in Atlantic history. Additionally, '''Hurricane Neptune''' ranked as the '''third-costliest hurricane''' ever recorded. The most intense system of the season was '''[[Hurricane Pixel]]''', which reached '''Category 5''' intensity on the '''[[Sharkius–Leaf scale]]''' with peak winds of '''220 mph (354 km/h)''' and a minimum pressure of '''868 mbar (hPa)'''. '''Pixel''' broke records as the '''most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded in history''', surpassing both '''Typhoon Tip''' and '''Hurricane Patricia''' in intensity. '''Pixel''' remains the '''strongest Atlantic hurricane''' on record, causing catastrophic damage across '''Florida''' and the '''Bahamas'''.
The '''2050 season''' saw a total of '''21 tropical depressions''', '''20 named storms''', '''15 hurricanes''' (a record high, tied with '''2005'''), and '''7 major hurricanes''' (a record high, tied with '''2005''' and '''2020'''). The season's above-average activity was attributed to exceptionally warm sea surface temperatures and a strong '''La Niña''' pattern that fostered favorable atmospheric conditions for tropical cyclone development. With over '''266 ACE''' being generated, the season was classified as '''hyperactive'''. This season broke the record for the '''most ACE generated''' in a single season, surpassing '''1933'''.
In addition to the powerful storms, several systems produced significant impacts across coastal and inland regions. Flooding from tropical storms like '''Damaris''' and '''Merrick''' caused widespread disruption, while the rapid intensification of storms such as '''Calhoun''' and '''Pixel''' highlighted the unpredictable and volatile nature of the season.
The '''2050 season''' became the '''costliest hurricane season on record''', with total damages reaching '''$2.58 trillion (2050 USD)'''. It was also the '''deadliest Atlantic hurricane season''' in history, with '''57,123 fatalities''' reported. The devastation prompted renewed discussions on climate change's role in fueling extreme weather events, with meteorologists warning that future hurricane seasons could bring even stronger storms. As a result, coastal communities were urged to improve their resilience and disaster preparedness to mitigate potential impacts from increasingly intense hurricanes.


==Seasonal forecasts==
==Seasonal forecasts==
{| class="toccolours" style="float:right; margin-left:1em; text-align:right; clear: right;" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="3"
{| class="toccolours" style="float:right; margin-left:1em; text-align:right; clear: right;" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="3"
|+ style="color: black; text-align: center;" | '''Predictions for 2050 Atlantic hurricane season'''
|+ style="color: black; text-align: center;" | '''Predictions for 2025 Alisea hurricane season'''
|- style="background:#ccf
|- style="background:#ccf
| align="center" |'''Source'''
| align="center" |'''Source'''
Line 20: Line 10:
| align="center" |'''<span style="font-size:80%;">Hurricanes</span>'''
| align="center" |'''<span style="font-size:80%;">Hurricanes</span>'''
| align="center" |'''<span style="font-size:80%;">Major<br />hurricanes</span>'''
| align="center" |'''<span style="font-size:80%;">Major<br />hurricanes</span>'''
| align="center" |'''<span style="font-size:80%;">Extreme<br />hurricanes</span>'''
| align="center" |'''<span style="font-size:80%;">Hypercanes</span>'''
|-
|-
|align="center" colspan="2"|''Average <span style="font-size: 80%;">(1991–2020)</span>'' || 14.4 || 7.2 || 3.2 || 0 || 0 ||
|align="center" colspan="2"|''Average <span style="font-size: 80%;">(1991–2020)</span>'' || 14.4 || 7.2 || 3.2 ||
|-
|-
|align="center" colspan="2"|''Record high activity''
|align="center" colspan="2"|''Record high activity''
|30
|30
|15
|14
|7†
|7
|0
|0
|-
|-
|align="center" colspan="2"|''Record low activity''
|align="center" colspan="2"|''Record low activity''
|1
|2
|1†
|0†
|0†
|0†
|0
|0
|-
|-
| colspan="7" style="text-align:center;"| <hr/>
| colspan="7" style="text-align:center;"| <hr/>
|
|
|-
|-
| align="left" |TSR
| align="left" |NAHC
| align="left" |December 15, 2049
| align="left" |Apr 5, 2025
|15
|13-16
|7
|4-6
|3
|2-3
|0
|-
|0
| align="left" |NAHC
| align="left" |Apr 28, 2025
|14-19
|4-6
|1-3
|-
| align="left" |NAHC
| align="left" |May 9, 2025
|14-19
|7-8
|1-2
|-
| align="left" |SK
| align="left" |May 9, 2025
|17
|9
|4
|-
| align="left" |MV
| align="left" |May 10, 2025
|16
|10
|4
|-
| align="left" |LL
| align="left" |May 10, 2025
|14-17
|5-7
|2-4
|-
|-
| '''Actual activity'''<br />
| '''Actual activity'''<br />
|
|
|20
|2
|15
|7
|0
|0
|0
|0
|-
|-
|}
|}
Prior to the start of the season, several organizations released seasonal forecasts predicting the overall activity for the 2050 Atlantic hurricane season. These forecasts took into account various factors such as sea surface temperatures, atmospheric conditions, and the presence of El Niño or La Niña patterns.
The '''Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)''' forecast, released on '''December 15, 2049''', predicted a slightly above-average season with '''15 named storms''', '''7 hurricanes''', and '''3 major hurricanes'''. At the time, no '''extreme hurricanes''' or '''hypercanes''' were anticipated.
TSR's conservative forecast stemmed from conflicting environmental signals. While '''sea surface temperatures (SSTs)''' across the Atlantic basin were recorded at '''1.2°C (2.2°F)''' above average — notably warm enough to fuel robust tropical cyclone development — other environmental factors were less supportive. A combination of higher-than-average '''wind shear''', particularly across the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, along with drier air masses originating from the '''Saharan Air Layer (SAL)''', was expected to inhibit storm formation and intensification.
These conflicting conditions led TSR to predict only a moderately active season, as the unfavorable atmospheric setup was expected to counterbalance the unusually warm waters. However, as the season progressed, the SST anomaly played a far greater role in enhancing tropical cyclone development than initially anticipated. This resulted in several intense systems forming, including record-breaking storms such as '''Pixel''' and '''Calhoun'''.
Subsequent forecasts from other agencies adjusted their predictions as oceanic and atmospheric conditions evolved closer to the season's peak. These revisions included higher storm counts as indicators of a hyperactive season became evident.


==Seasonal timeline==
==Seasonal timeline==
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PlotData=
PlotData=
   barset:Hurricane width:11 align:left fontsize:S shift:(4,-4) anchor:till
   barset:Hurricane width:11 align:left fontsize:S shift:(4,-4) anchor:till
  from:13/06/2050 till:20/06/2050 color:C4 text:"[[Hurricane Achillean|Achillean (C4)]]"
  from:02/07/2050 till:09/07/2050 color:C2 text:"Brielle (C2)"
  from:01/08/2050 till:17/08/2050 color:C5 text:"[[Hurricane Calhoun|Calhoun (C5)]]"
  from:09/08/2050 till:14/08/2050 color:TS text:"Damaris (TS)"
  from:12/08/2050 till:18/08/2050 color:C1 text:"Eureka (C1)"
  from:18/08/2050 till:28/08/2050 color:C3 text:"Falun (C3)"
  from:19/08/2050 till:25/08/2050 color:TS text:"Gideon (TS)"
  from:21/08/2050 till:26/08/2050 color:TS text:"Halycon (TS)"
  from:26/08/2050 till:07/09/2050 color:C4 text:"Imara (C4)"
  from:29/08/2050 till:07/09/2050 color:C2 text:"Jack (C2)"
  from:30/08/2050 till:04/09/2050 color:C2 text:"Kellan (C2)"
  barset:break
  from:02/09/2050 till:09/09/2050 color:TS text:"Lorraine (TS)"
  from:07/09/2050 till:14/09/2050 color:TS text:"Merrick (TS)"
  from:23/09/2050 till:04/10/2050 color:C4 text:"Neptune (C4)"
  from:28/09/2050 till:05/10/2050 color:C1 text:"Onyx (C1)"
  from:06/10/2050 till:23/10/2050 color:C5 text:"[[Hurricane Pixel|Pixel (C5)]]"
  from:06/10/2050 till:13/10/2050 color:C1 text:"Rhea (C1)"
  from:07/10/2050 till:16/10/2050 color:C1 text:"Selene (C1)"
  from:08/10/2050 till:24/10/2050 color:C2 text:"Trevon (C2)"
  from:09/10/2050 till:21/10/2050 color:C3 text:"Virgil (C3)"


   bar:Month width:5 align:center fontsize:S shift:(0,-20) anchor:middle color:canvas
   bar:Month width:5 align:center fontsize:S shift:(0,-20) anchor:middle color:canvas
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   text:"(From the"
   text:"(From the"
   pos:(870,23)
   pos:(870,23)
   text:"[[Sharkius–Leaf scale]])"
   text:"[[Ardonia arrocane wind scale|Arrocane wind scale]])"


</timeline>}}
</timeline>}}

Revision as of 17:33, 16 May 2025

2019 Ardonia arrocane season
No image provided
Seasonal boundaries
First system formed Season not started
Last system dissipated Season not started
Seasonal statistics
Total fatalities None
Total damage None
Related articles
• None

Ardonia arrocane seasons
2019, 2020

Seasonal forecasts

Predictions for 2025 Alisea hurricane season
Source Date Named
storm
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
Average (1991–2020) 14.4 7.2 3.2
Record high activity 30 14 7
Record low activity 2 1† 0†

NAHC Apr 5, 2025 13-16 4-6 2-3
NAHC Apr 28, 2025 14-19 4-6 1-3
NAHC May 9, 2025 14-19 7-8 1-2
SK May 9, 2025 17 9 4
MV May 10, 2025 16 10 4
LL May 10, 2025 14-17 5-7 2-4
Actual activity
2 0 0

Seasonal timeline

Ardonia arrocane wind scale

Systems

Hurricane Pixel

Category 5 hurricane (SLHWS)
Duration October 5 – October 23
Peak intensity 220 mph (350 km/h) (1-min);
868 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Pixel emerged as the sixteenth named storm, sixth major hurricane, and second Category 5 hurricane of the 2050 Atlantic hurricane season, originating as Invest 95L on October 6, 2050, in the southwestern Caribbean Sea with initial winds of 5 mph and a pressure of 1019 mb. The system intensified into Tropical Storm Pixel by October 7 at 12:00 UTC (40 mph, 998 mb) and underwent rapid strengthening in the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, reaching Category 1 by October 8 at 18:00 UTC (80 mph, 986 mb), Category 3 by October 9 at 12:00 UTC (125 mph, 956 mb), and Category 5 by October 9 at 18:00 UTC (175 mph, 908 mb). It achieved its peak intensity, the most intense hurricane on record with a minimum central pressure of 868 mb and the strongest hurricane on record with sustained winds of 220 mph (354 km/h) on October 10, 2050, at 00:00 UTC, north of the Yucatán Peninsula. Following its peak, Pixel underwent an eyewall replacement cycle (ERC), briefly weakening to 155 mph by October 10 at 12:00 UTC (915 mb), before restrengthening to Category 5 status, reaching 205 mph (879 mb) by October 11 at 18:00 UTC. Pixel then made a catastrophic landfall along the Gulf Coast of Florida near the Florida Panhandle on October 11, 2050, at 12:00 UTC, as a strong Category 5 hurricane with 200 mph winds and 884 mb pressure, bringing devastating storm surges up to 25 feet and winds that demolished coastal infrastructure. Before landfall, Pixel spawned an EF4 tornado in the Florida Panhandle, causing widespread destruction. The storm weakened to Category 4 by October 12 at 12:00 UTC (155 mph, 923 mb) over land, moved northeast, looped off the southeastern U.S. coast with winds fluctuating between 130 and 185 mph from October 14 to 15, transitioned into an extratropical cyclone on October 18 at 18:00 UTC (70 mph, 990 mb), and dissipated east of Newfoundland by October 23 at 06:00 UTC (5 mph, 1020 mb). Pixel contributed 73.84 points to the season’s Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), the highest of any storm in 2050, and was the costliest hurricane ever in recorded history, with an estimated $1.5 trillion (2050 USD) in damages.

Following its landfall on the Gulf Coast of Florida, Hurricane Pixel unleashed torrential rainfall across the southeastern United States, with totals exceeding 20 inches in parts of Florida, Alabama, and Mississippi, triggering widespread freshwater flooding and necessitating numerous high-water rescues. The storm’s unprecedented power resulted in catastrophic destruction, with the $1.5 trillion (2050 USD) damage estimate reflecting extensive losses to homes, businesses, and critical infrastructure across the Florida Panhandle and adjacent Gulf Coast regions. In Florida, three deaths were reported due to flooding and structural collapse, while offshore, two individuals perished from rip currents near Alabama; the EF4 tornado before landfall added further fatalities and damage. Pixel’s expansive wind field generated additional tornadoes, including two EF0 tornadoes in Georgia, compounding the storm’s toll. Coastal areas of Louisiana, including Grand Isle, experienced moderate flooding from a 10–15 foot storm surge, while Texas saw minor wave impacts. The storm’s severity prompted mass evacuations and a federal emergency declaration, cementing its status as a historic disaster.

Storm names

The following names have been designated for the 2050 Atlantic hurricane season:

Season effects

Sharkius–Leaf scale
TD TS C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 HY
2050 Atlantic hurricane season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category
at peak intensity
Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths
Achillean June 9–21 Category 4 hurricane 150 (240) 947 Mexico (Yucatán Peninsula) Greater Antilles (Western Cuba) Cayman Islands Southeastern United States (especially Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia) Midwestern United States (Tennessee) $61 billion 154
Brielle July 14–21 Category 2 hurricane 100 (160) 978 Bahamas (Lucayan Archipelago), Florida (Southern and Central Florida), Southeastern United States (especially Georgia, South Carolina, and Virginia) $5 billion 2
Calhoun August 1–8 Category 5 hurricane 165 (266) 928 Mexico (northeastern Yucatán Peninsula and parts of the Gulf Coast), Southeastern United States (Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle), and Eastern United States (Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, and extending into the Mid-Atlantic region) $133 billion 869
Damaris August 7–11 Tropical storm 55 (89) 999 Lesser Antilles (particularly Antigua, Barbuda, Guadeloupe, and Dominica), Puerto Rico (including San Juan), US Virgin Islands, British Virgin Islands, Greater Antilles (Northern Venezuela, and possibly Aruba, Curaçao, and Bonaire) $25.5 million 0
Eureka August 10–12 Category 1 hurricane 85 (137) 986 Central America (specifically Honduras and Nicaragua), Cayman Islands, Greater Antilles (including Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and the western Dominican Republic), and Southeastern United States (particularly southern Florida and the Florida Keys) $1 billion 24
Falun August 16–21 Category 3 hurricane 125 (201) 965 Bermuda, U.S. East Coast (New Jersey, New York, Connecticut), New England, and Eastern Canada (including Quebec and New Brunswick) $500 million 7
Gideon August 19–23 Tropical storm 65 (105) 996 None $0 0
Season aggregates
7 systems June 9 - Season Ongoing   165 (266) 928 $201 billion 1,056